Fundamental Analysis

FOREX.com's weekly FX Outlook: 26th May 2013

Join Forex.com'S Kathleen Brooks to get her take on why USDJPY and gold are the ones to watch as we start a new week.

By Kathleen Brooks | 6:25 pm | Forex.com

The next phase of Abenomics

The first phase of Abenomics, which started at the end of 2012, involved stimulating the economy and expanding the monetary base to JPY 270 trillion, resulting in a sharp drop in the JPY and a large boost for the Nikkei. However, the events of the last few days have caused this relationship to break down.

By Kathleen Brooks | 5:51 pm | Forex.com

FOREX.com's top 3 FX ideas: 20th May 2013

Watch FOREX.com's top 3 actionable FX ideas as we start a fresh week, and find out what is on the market radar this week.

By Kathleen Brooks | May 20 | Forex.com

Reflection time for dollar bulls

It's been pretty slow-going today as economic data has been thin on the ground. Ranges in FX are fairly tight and stock markets are flat to fairly neutral. Currently US futures are pointing to a slightly lower open. But there are some important fundamental events this week that could impact the medium-term direction of markets.

By Kathleen Brooks | May 20 | Forex.com

Fundamental Oil Report ()

May 19 | ecPulse.com

USDCAD: through key resistance at 1.0230

This dollar continues to recover on the back of some hawkish commentary from Fed members. San Francisco Fed President John Williams waded into the debate last night and said that the Fed may start to buy bonds in the next few months. Williams' comments come after Fed member Charles Plosser expressed similar sentiments earlier this week.

By Kathleen Brooks | May 17 | Forex.com

Is the dollar advance for real this time?

Get our view on whether the dollar rally can last and what the BOE's Inflation Report means for sterling.

By Kathleen Brooks | May 15 | Forex.com

EUR: short term pullback on horizon as we wait for GDP

It's been another torrid start for the euro, not only is the single currency getting battered by the resurgent dollar, but also by dismal domestic economic data. The Q1 GDP report due at 1000 BST/ 0500 ET is expected to confirm the sixth consecutive quarter of negative growth.

By Kathleen Brooks | May 15 | Forex.com

The European bail-in and the EUR

After a slow start in financial markets this week a couple of themes are emerging: the yen is rebounding and the euro is getting hit from comments coming out of the Eurozone finance ministers meeting in Brussels. Could the Japanese authorities' enormous stimulus plan be about to bite the government? 5-year government bond yields have surged to their highest level in 2 years this morning.

By Kathleen Brooks | May 14 | Forex.com

Figure 1: German - US 10-year yield spread

EURUSD: German – US yield spread approaches a key level

At least in the short term, the yield spread between German Bunds and US Treasury yields seems to support a weaker EURUSD. But beware; a key support level is approaching. The spread on the 10-year yield is currently -0.56%, not far from - 0.6% is the lowest level since June 2010. Whenever the spread has fallen to these levels it has coincided with a low in EURUSD.

By Kathleen Brooks | May 13 | Forex.com

USDJPY: life above 100.00

If the FX market is a one horse town, then the yen is the horse today. Conspiracy theories abound as to why USDJPY slammed through 100.00 on what was a fairly quiet NYC afternoon. My personal favourite so far is from a story in the Wall Street Journal that a single trader took advantage of quiet markets, and started bidding up UISDJPY in 10 pip increments, happily thwarting the sellers.

By Kathleen Brooks | May 10 | Forex.com