Politics is all about balancing the equations, particularly that of religions and castes in the Indian scenario, to achieve political gains. Out of power for over a decade now, one of the country's most tainted leaders – Lalu Prasad Yadav – has been doing anything that he thinks can get his clan, and his party – Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) – back to rule Bihar.
And, filing of two FIRs – one in Patna and the other in Jamui – against the former chief minister and ex-railway minister only proves the veteran leader's desperation. Time is fast slipping out of the hands of the once messiah of the Yadavs, whom the people of the community idolised. Now, even his close relatives, who would once do anything to keep the RJD in power, are deserting Lalu.
The seasoned politician knows well that by staying out of power for too long, he cannot hold on to his somewhat trusted vote bank – the people of his community – who have been loyal voters of the RJD for decades.
Lalu's M-Y (Muslim Yadav) equation seems to be too redundant a theory in Bihar's current scenario. He was generous enough to initially accept Samajwadi Party (SP) chief Mulayam Singh Yadav as the leader of the Grand Alliance, which also comprised the Congress and the Janata Dal United (JDU) as the other main outfits. But the seat sharing deal did not work out as per Mulayam's wish, prompting him to quit the alliance, showing further cracks in the Yadav vote bank. Of course, the SP is not as big an influence in Bihar as it is in its home turf (Uttar Pradesh).
Then, encouraged by the AIMIM's performance in the last Maharashtra Assembly election, Asaduddin Owaisi also announced his party's arrival in Bihar. The party looks confident about making a big dent in the Grand Alliance's minority vote bank. That virtually kills Lalu's M-Y formula.
The RJD chief even backtracked from his recent "Hindus also eat beef" remark, which was apparently aimed at blunting the influence of Owaisi and Mulayam over the Muslim vote bank, clearly to save the Yadav vote bank. He realised that Hindus, particularly Yadavs, revere cows and they could take offence to his comment.
Lalu has certainly made some of the biggest sacrifices to be in the reckoning once again. The friendship with Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar – once his biggest rival – says it loud. However, his sacrifices don't really seem to be working in his favour right now. Only time will tell whether he will be able to bring the RJD back to power in Bihar with the help of his opportunist friend like Nitish Kumar.
[Disclaimer: This article reflects the writer's personal opinion and does not necessarily represent the views of IBTimes India.]